Factor for evaluating key rate setting |
The degree of correctness of use in the current situation |
The degree of incorrect use in the current situation |
National currency rate to US dollar |
Absolutely correct |
х |
Real economic growth |
Correct about stimulating the economy |
Inappropriate in relation to increased bankruptcy risks |
Inflation rate |
Correct for a state whose real economic growth rate is negative |
Incorrect in the development of the national economy |
Debt of the population |
х |
Absolutely incorrect |
Debt burden of the population |
х |
Absolutely incorrect |
Scenario probability |
Positive scenario |
Negative scenario |
8/20*100%=40% |
12/20*100%=60% |