Analysis Of The Reliability Of Modeling The Risk Of Non-Fulfillment By Bonds

Table 4:

Boolean variable name	Designation	Probability of hypothesis applicability H1%
Variables characterizing the financial results of the company in the reporting year t
Gross Profit Indicator	$k_{G P}$	96,0
Sales profit indicator	$k_{R S}$	>99,9
Profit before tax indicator	$k_{P B T}$	>99,9
Net profit indicator	$k_{N P P}$	>99,9
Variables characterizing the financial condition of the company in the reporting year t
Equity indicator	$k_{O F}$	99,8
Own working capital indicator	$k_{O W C}$	32,6
Retained earnings indicator	$k_{R E}$	>99,9
Indicator of short-term receivables	$k_{S R}$	<0,01
Long-term commitment indicator	$k_{L D}$	85,3
Variables characterizing the financial condition of the company in the reporting year t and the year preceding the reporting year, t-1
Gross Profit Indicator	$k_{G P 2}$	91,0
Sales profit indicator	$k_{R S 2}$	99,8
Profit before tax indicator	$k_{P B T 2}$	>99,9
Net profit indicator	$k_{N P P 2}$	>99,9
Variables characterizing the financial condition of the company in the reporting year t and the year preceding the reporting year, t-1
Equity indicator	$k_{O F 2}$	98,7
Own working capital indicator	$k_{O W C 2}$	46,4
Retained earnings indicator	$k_{R E 2}$	>99,9
Indicator of short-term receivables	$k_{S R 2}$	31,5
Long-term debt indicator	$k_{L D 2}$	<0,01
Variables characterizing the dynamics of financial results and financial condition of the company
Indicator of the dynamics of short-term obligations	$k_{∆ S О}$	88,7
Revenue dynamics indicator	$k_{∆ R S P}$	98,5
Indicator of the dynamics of interest payable	$k_{∆ P P}$	99,5
Indicator of the dynamics of the cost of goods and services sold	$k_{∆ C G S}$	86,4
Indicator of the dynamics of the total costs of production and sales of products	$k_{∆ T C P S}$	71,2
Net profit dynamics indicator	$k_{∆ N P P}$	>99,9

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Analysis Of The Reliability Of Modeling The Risk Of Non-Fulfillment By Bonds

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