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Modeling The Economic Growth Of The Region

Table 3: Forecast of regional economic growth until 2030

9.5 An indicator of the region's economic growth efficiency The innovative potential of the region is an indicator of efficiency The competitive potential of the region is an indicator of efficiency The economic security potential of the region is an indicator of efficiency The sustainable development potential of the region is an indicator of efficiency
Y1- GRP per capita, thousand sums
Simple progno-sis Prognosis under the influence of factors Y2 - contribution of innovative products (services) to the total volume of products (services),% Y3 - financial results per capita, thousand sum Y4 - growth rate of tax revenues,% Y5 - economic growth rates of the region,%
2020 16288.70 1.38 351.40 128.90 110.90
2021 16273.42 12433 1.31 329.82 122.99 114.03
2022 17591.67 13261.45 1.41 361.77 124.99 115.48
2023 18909.92 14077.67 1.50 393.73 126.98 116.93
2024 20228.17 14914 1.60 425.68 128.97 118.38
2025 21546.42 15725.5 1.70 457.64 130.97 119.83
2026 22864.67 16532.71 1.79 489.59 132.96 121.27
2027 24182.92 17369.94 1.89 521.55 134.96 122.72
2028 25501.17 18198.78 1.99 553.50 136.95 124.17
2029 26819.42 19005.45 2.08 585.45 138.94 125.62
2030 28137.67 19843.46 2.18 617.41 140.94 127.07
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