Cognitive Modelling As A Tool For Strategic Planning Of An Industrial Development


This article is devoted to the need substantiation of the strategic plans formation for making forecasts of the economic development of Russia, namely, the industrial complex. At present, the country's industrial complex has a lack of strategic development guidelines, and industrial production indices have not been growing over the past 5 years. One of the problems of this situation is the lack of long-term development plans and, accordingly, state forms of support. Strategic planning is an important aspect of strategic management in industry. Strategic planning helps coordinate processes. The article presents the main trends in the development of Russian industry, analyzes the tools of strategic planning. And it is concluded that the cognitive modeling toolkit is an appropriate tool of a long-term forecast making for development points. Cognitive modeling allows you to develop points of growth (elements) and identify the functions of communication between these points or elements of development. This approach is based on the systematic planning of complex systems. The authors propose to use a cognitive modeling tool to determine the vectors of development in the industrial complex. The article can be useful to everyone who deals with the problems of industrial development and studies the tools of strategic planning.

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