Short-Term Forecasting Of Gross Regional Product Using Production Functions
Table 6: The predicted values of GRP of RSES KhMAO – Yugra in the period from 2013 to 2017, obtained using the PF type CES and VES functions
| Year |
IY.act(T+1) |
IY.calc(T+1), PF CD |
ε(T+1),PF CD |
IY.calc(T+1), PF CES |
ε(T+1),PF CES |
IY.calc(T+1), PF VES |
ε(T+1),PF VES |
| 2013 |
1,4943 |
1.7319 |
0,1592 |
1,5696 |
0,0504 |
1,5272 |
0,0220 |
| 2014 |
1,4944 |
1,7213 |
0,1519 |
1,5658 |
0,0478 |
1,5286 |
0,0229 |
| 2015 |
1,4788 |
1,6687 |
0,1467 |
1,5563 |
0,0524 |
1,5271 |
0,0326 |
| 2016 |
1,4788 |
1,7112 |
0,1571 |
1,5693 |
0,612 |
1,5565 |
0,0525 |
| 2017 |
1,5098 |
1,7089 |
0,1556 |
1,6150 |
0,0912 |
1,5860 |
0,0724 |
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