Forecasting And Stock Market Critical Points Analysis Using Modified Local Holder Exponents
Table 1:
Assets | MLHE window | Interval, number of points(2.1)/(2.2) | Signal threshold in the number of mean values(2.1)/(2.2) | The normalized value of large motion (2.1)/(2.2) | Faithful signals of MLHE(2.1)/RSG | Faithful signals of MLHE(2.2)/RSG | Total number of signals(2.1)/(2.2) |
AT&T | 320 | 70/40 | 1.8/2.2 | 0.0043/0.0023 | 0.81/0.35 | 0.90/0.5 | 70/57 |
Apple | 320 | 50/50 | 1.9/1.9 | 0.0047/0.0035 | 0.86/0.33 | 0.95/0.49 | 87/87 |
H&P | 320 | 70/70 | 2.9/2.9 | 0.0066/0.0047 | 0.82/0.33 | 0.89/0.51 | 60/60 |
Coca-cola | 320 | 40/40 | 2.8/2.8 | 0.0030/0.0024 | 0.85/0.36 | 0.89/0.49 | 56/56 |
IBM | 320 | 90/40 | 4.0/3.4 | 0.0062/0.0029 | 0.75/0.35 | 0.80/0.49 | 32/35 |
Intel | 320 | 50/50 | 2.9/2.9 | 0.0052/0.0037 | 0.93/0.35 | 0.95/0.49 | 61/61 |
Microsoft | 320 | 70/70 | 1.2/1.2 | 0.0057/0.0042 | 0.82/0.34 | 0.89/0.50 | 89/89 |
320 | 90/130 | 0.8/4 | 0.0091/0.0093 | 0.52/0.34 | 0.82/0.50 | 44/17 | |
McDonalds | 320 | 60/40 | 1.7/2.8 | 0.0041/0.0024 | 0.78/0.36 | 0.89/0.51 | 68/54 |
Exxon | 320 | 50/50 | 4/4 | 0.0040/0.0030 | 0.92/0.35 | 1.0/0.50 | 52/52 |
Kraft Foods | 320 | 40/40 | 3.9/3.9 | 0.0050/0.0038 | 0.80/0.35 | 0.92/0.50 | 26/26 |
Pfizer | 320 | 40/50 | 3.7/2.8 | 0.0035/0.0032 | 0.89/0.38 | 0.93/0.49 | 45/53 |
Bank Of America | 320 | 40/40 | 4/1.3 | 0.0043/0.0033 | 0.83/0.33 | 0.90/0.47 | 40/72 |
D&J-ind | 320 | 70/80 | 2.2/3.1 | 0.0028/0.0023 | 0.83/0.33 | 0.95/0.51 | 48/39 |
Gazprom | 320 | 210/200 | 2.4/2.4 | 0.0129/0.0113 | 0.51/0.39 | 0.6/0.5 | 77/77 |
Lukoil | 320 | 200/220 | 3.1/2.7 | 0.0116/0.0108 | 0.55/0.39 | 0.7/0.5 | 38/43 |
Sberbank | 320 | 220/190 | 2.9/1.1 | 0.0193/0.0149 | 0.53/0.38 | 0.6/0.5 | 65/110 |
RTSI index | 320 | 190/220 | 2.6/2.6 | 0.0116/0.0110 | 0.69/0.37 | 0.78/0.5 | 45/45 |
MTS | 320 | 220/220 | 1.5/3.9 | 0.0161/0.0131 | 0.56/0.37 | 0.66/0.47 | 83/36 |